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Red64
86217.8
759820.0
283418.9
Blue41
341422.7
77222.3
20113.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6767506070806441

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7598
#16
20.00.6
21.220.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End5.2
blue by 2.7
3414
#25
22.71.6
27.525.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End6.2
Second
18.90.6
20.720.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.7
blue by 3.3
772
#6
22.31.6
21.419.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End7.6
Third
862
#13
17.80.6
21.120.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End3.8
red by 4.0
201
#20
13.81.6
15.413.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed79%HAB Docking oddsMissed