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Red66
496120.3
543618.9
233725.4
Blue66
118921.9
353827.5
20113.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6965506080906666

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.0
25.625.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.2
End7.4
blue by 2.1
27.50.1
27.027.1
Auto4.9
Teleop15.0
End7.6
Second
20.30.0
20.520.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End6.2
blue by 1.6
21.90.1
21.321.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Third
5436
#23
18.90.0
19.219.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.5
End4.1
red by 5.1
201
#20
13.80.1
13.313.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.1