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Red39
360421.5
86217.8
125015.5
Blue24
468015.9
370717.3
283416.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7574304050607080903924

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#11
21.52.2
23.821.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End4.2
red by 4.2
3707
#20
17.33.2
29.025.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End6.0
Second
862
#8
17.82.2
22.620.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End3.2
red by 1.2
2834
#15
16.63.2
23.019.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End3.2
Third
15.52.2
23.120.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.5
blue by 0.3
4680
#16
15.93.2
19.916.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsMissed