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Red49
213722.3
485410.4
607817.5
Blue20
439010.8
69148.2
661815.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615102040801001201404920

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.6
24.123.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End7.6
red by 7.0
6618
#10
15.31.9
21.819.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End2.1
Second
6078
#14
17.50.6
19.719.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.2
red by 6.7
4390
#23
10.81.9
12.710.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.4
End2.5
Third
4854
#13
10.40.6
13.613.0
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End2.9
red by 2.2
6914
#24
8.21.9
14.212.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned7%HAB Docking oddsMissed