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Red24
481012.9
332217.6
46912.3
Blue38
170115.9
776211.8
759711.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453101020405060702438

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#12
17.62.1
13.411.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End4.4
red by 1.7
1701
#10
15.90.4
9.59.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End3.2
Second
4810
#17
12.92.1
14.312.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End3.0
red by 1.1
7762
#29
11.80.6
10.511.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Third
469
#22
12.32.1
15.113.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End2.8
red by 0.8
7597
#27
11.50.6
9.510.1
Auto4.8
Teleop2.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed