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Red39
656613.2
45311.2
720615.5
Blue62
285125.2
81816.7
555513.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36390102030506070803962

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7206
#24
15.50.5
13.113.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End3.1
blue by 9.6
25.22.5
14.016.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End4.6
Second
13.20.5
12.312.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End3.3
blue by 3.4
818
#15
16.72.5
10.613.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End3.8
Third
453
#40
11.20.5
8.79.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End3.7
blue by 2.0
5555
#30
13.12.5
12.114.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed