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Red77
3334.6
476815.3
159622.2
Blue81
261130.7
495626.5
608820.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7876506070901007781

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
34.60.2
34.334.5
Auto5.3
Teleop22.5
End6.8
red by 3.8
30.70.6
26.627.1
Auto3.7
Teleop18.9
End8.1
Second
1596
#32
22.20.2
21.221.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.2
End2.9
blue by 4.3
4956
#17
26.50.6
25.025.6
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End4.8
Third
4768
#40
15.30.2
18.118.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End2.5
blue by 5.0
6088
#27
20.30.6
20.821.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsMissed90%HAB Docking oddsEarned