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Red56
496727.4
360316.9
345817.4
Blue61
317521.1
663719.1
387519.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6060405070805661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.3
24.223.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End6.4
red by 6.3
3175
#18
21.10.3
16.416.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End3.0
Second
3458
#39
17.40.3
16.416.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End4.4
blue by 2.3
3875
#37
19.70.3
21.121.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Third
3603
#28
16.90.3
16.616.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End5.2
blue by 2.2
6637
#29
19.10.3
19.019.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed