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Red79
656933.3
608820.3
468026.8
Blue70
523423.5
612126.3
476815.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836540601001207970

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6569
#12
33.30.0
31.831.8
Auto4.4
Teleop19.9
End8.9
red by 6.9
6121
#25
26.30.5
24.324.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.4
End6.2
Second
4680
#19
26.80.0
27.427.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.8
End8.4
red by 3.2
5234
#33
23.50.5
21.922.5
Auto4.5
Teleop15.4
End3.7
Third
6088
#27
20.30.0
19.819.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End7.0
red by 5.0
4768
#40
15.30.5
15.716.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed