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Red78
6624.0
387519.7
495626.5
Blue75
283424.4
590723.5
778220.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75734060801001207875

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#17
26.50.5
24.124.6
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End4.8
red by 2.1
2834
#13
24.40.4
25.125.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Second
66
#11
24.00.5
25.826.3
Auto5.3
Teleop15.5
End3.2
red by 0.5
5907
#35
23.50.4
22.322.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End5.2
Third
3875
#37
19.70.5
21.121.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.6
End3.3
blue by 0.5
7782
#31
20.20.4
21.722.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned86%HAB Docking oddsEarned