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Red75
233727.5
150628.7
612015.6
Blue73
485526.4
496727.4
765816.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807340601007573

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.1
28.128.0
Auto3.7
Teleop18.2
End6.8
red by 1.2
27.40.1
26.126.2
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End6.4
Second
27.50.1
32.832.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.4
End5.9
red by 1.2
4855
#22
26.40.1
26.726.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End7.9
Third
6120
#38
15.60.1
15.215.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End4.7
blue by 0.9
7658
#36
16.40.1
15.916.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsEarned95%HAB Docking oddsEarned