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Red73
543627.5
715418.6
567527.1
Blue85
750119.8
261923.6
364131.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667740601007385

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#11
27.50.7
23.624.3
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End6.5
blue by 3.6
31.00.8
31.832.5
Auto3.7
Teleop19.9
End7.4
Second
5675
#28
27.10.7
21.522.2
Auto3.7
Teleop19.0
End4.3
red by 3.4
23.60.8
21.422.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Third
7154
#30
18.60.7
17.718.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End3.3
blue by 1.2
7501
#21
19.80.8
20.020.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed14%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned61%HAB Docking oddsEarned