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Red64
400325.3
345228.5
600220.7
Blue77
755332.9
376721.8
421623.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82816570758590956477

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#20
28.50.9
29.828.9
Auto5.3
Teleop16.5
End6.7
blue by 4.5
32.90.2
29.629.4
Auto5.5
Teleop19.7
End7.7
Second
4003
#26
25.30.9
25.925.0
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End7.3
red by 1.7
4216
#31
23.60.2
25.124.9
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End6.5
Third
6002
#23
20.70.9
21.620.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.4
End4.6
blue by 1.1
3767
#12
21.80.2
22.222.0
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsEarned