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Red97
365525.8
102329.5
50326.2
Blue79
132221.9
553027.7
521627.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878340601001209779

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.8
27.628.4
Auto3.3
Teleop17.1
End9.1
red by 1.9
5530
#16
27.70.0
28.828.8
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End6.8
Second
503
#11
26.20.8
29.230.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
blue by 1.3
5216
#21
27.50.0
28.028.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End7.9
Third
25.80.8
25.926.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.0
End7.0
red by 3.8
1322
#30
21.90.0
21.521.5
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
100%HAB Docking oddsEarned97%HAB Docking oddsEarned