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Red99
207527.8
353838.0
564126.5
Blue58
556126.9
285135.6
686123.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98864060801201409958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.4
36.336.7
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End7.4
red by 2.3
35.61.5
30.028.4
Auto5.4
Teleop23.7
End6.5
Second
27.80.4
31.832.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End5.4
red by 0.9
5561
#19
26.91.5
28.627.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End8.7
Third
5641
#18
26.50.4
24.725.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End9.8
red by 3.1
6861
#23
23.41.5
22.621.0
Auto3.4
Teleop14.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
35%Rocket oddsEarned8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
100%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned