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Red82
125023.1
207527.8
107622.1
Blue70
564126.5
50326.2
749124.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8584607080901001108270

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.6
32.531.9
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End5.4
red by 1.3
5641
#18
26.50.6
24.724.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End9.8
Second
1250
#39
23.10.6
25.925.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End4.5
blue by 3.1
503
#11
26.20.6
30.029.3
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
Third
1076
#13
22.10.6
22.421.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End3.5
blue by 2.0
7491
#31
24.10.6
24.724.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
22%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsEarned