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Red72
521627.5
473717.9
295919.3
Blue85
194020.9
365627.8
12318.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716940506080901007285

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#21
27.50.3
27.728.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End7.9
blue by 0.2
3656
#14
27.81.3
28.930.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End6.7
Second
2959
#36
19.30.3
20.921.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End4.8
blue by 1.6
1940
#33
20.91.3
16.818.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End4.7
Third
4737
#27
17.90.3
19.019.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
blue by 0.3
123
#34
18.21.3
19.620.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned76%HAB Docking oddsEarned