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Red78
364129.2
468028.2
36323.4
Blue33
78205.9
50658.3
549818.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563410203040506070807833

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.2
23.122.9
Auto3.8
Teleop17.7
End7.8
red by 11.2
5498
#27
18.00.0
18.418.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End3.8
Second
28.20.2
25.625.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End10.1
red by 19.9
5065
#17
8.30.1
7.47.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.3
End2.2
Third
3632
#39
3.40.3
4.64.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.0
End-0.0
blue by 2.5
7820
#36
5.90.1
6.76.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed