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Red53
519711.5
22620.9
267313.7
Blue45
553211.4
71456.9
778913.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4230102050605345

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
20.90.3
18.117.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End5.3
red by 7.9
7789
#28
13.01.1
11.312.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Second
13.70.2
11.110.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End2.8
red by 2.3
5532
#25
11.41.1
10.011.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.8
Third
5197
#24
11.50.2
10.510.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End2.5
red by 4.6
7145
#33
6.91.8
7.69.4
Auto3.4
Teleop1.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed