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Red47
22620.9
485413.6
719111.8
Blue40
475810.3
546716.0
483812.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43341020304050604740

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
20.90.6
19.820.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End5.3
red by 4.9
5467
#16
16.00.5
13.614.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.4
Second
13.60.4
9.59.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.9
red by 1.1
4838
#11
12.50.5
10.210.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.8
End2.1
Third
7191
#26
11.80.4
11.411.8
Auto5.7
Teleop2.6
End3.5
red by 1.4
4758
#37
10.30.8
8.29.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed