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Red38
575614.9
71456.9
50658.3
Blue18
68629.6
78658.6
78205.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2928102040503818

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5756
#20
14.90.1
12.913.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End3.3
red by 5.3
6862
#38
9.60.7
10.39.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End2.7
Second
5065
#17
8.30.1
7.57.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.3
End2.2
blue by 0.3
7865
#32
8.60.6
10.710.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End2.5
Third
7145
#33
6.90.1
7.37.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.9
End1.7
red by 1.0
7820
#36
5.90.7
5.34.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed