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Red44
61027.4
613813.9
448219.2
Blue56
496119.4
664215.0
90422.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436020804456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4482
#24
19.20.0
21.121.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End4.9
blue by 3.0
904
#17
22.20.2
22.822.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End6.0
Second
6138
#36
13.90.0
13.313.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.8
End5.1
blue by 5.5
4961
#15
19.40.2
21.621.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End3.9
Third
6102
#39
7.40.0
6.46.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End1.9
blue by 7.6
6642
#38
15.00.2
12.312.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed