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Red68
335726.4
295920.9
655014.7
Blue77
600221.6
610019.9
716621.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63613040507080901006877

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.6
22.422.9
Auto3.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
red by 4.8
6002
#13
21.61.1
17.518.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End7.2
Second
2959
#21
20.90.6
20.020.6
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End4.1
blue by 0.5
7166
#11
21.41.1
21.622.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.8
End3.0
Third
6550
#25
14.70.6
17.317.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End2.1
blue by 5.1
19.91.1
18.619.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed97%HAB Docking oddsEarned