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Red44
207532.5
77727.8
613813.9
Blue56
22629.6
722312.3
522214.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54544448505254564456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#5DQ
32.50.4
30.630.2
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End8.7
red by 2.9
226
#4
29.60.4
27.627.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.0
End8.1
Second
6138
#36
13.90.4
13.312.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.8
End5.1
blue by 0.4
5222
#14
14.30.4
11.912.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Third
7772
#31
7.80.4
6.96.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 4.6
7223
#29
12.30.4
11.211.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsMissed