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Red26
499813.5
61027.4
760214.2
Blue38
780914.7
323411.1
247422.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34540204060802638

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7602
#26
14.20.4
13.613.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.8
blue by 8.0
2474
#28
22.20.8
22.521.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End6.4
Second
4998
#23
13.50.4
12.512.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End4.1
blue by 1.1
7809
#30
14.70.8
15.514.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Third
6102
#39
7.40.4
5.75.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End1.9
blue by 3.7
3234
#35
11.10.8
12.711.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed