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Red54
77727.8
522214.3
610019.9
Blue46
765814.9
357018.7
61027.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43381020305060705446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.7
20.721.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End9.1
red by 1.2
3570
#20
18.70.7
15.416.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End6.2
Second
5222
#14
14.30.7
13.714.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End3.1
blue by 0.6
7658
#22
14.90.7
14.014.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.2
Third
7772
#31
7.80.7
6.47.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End1.6
red by 0.4
6102
#39
7.40.7
6.26.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed