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Red71
438211.0
277124.0
335726.4
Blue50
247422.2
261921.4
516211.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61604550556570757150

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.9
23.124.0
Auto3.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
red by 4.3
2474
#28
22.20.5
21.921.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End6.4
Second
24.00.9
25.526.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.6
End6.2
red by 2.6
2619
#18
21.40.5
23.823.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End3.4
Third
4382
#40
11.00.9
8.69.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.2
blue by 0.8
5162
#37
11.90.5
11.711.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed