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Red70
765814.9
22629.6
91032.5
Blue50
332219.3
335726.4
664215.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806220401001207050

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#1
32.50.4
29.729.3
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End7.7
red by 6.0
26.41.3
24.723.4
Auto3.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
Second
226
#4
29.60.4
29.729.3
Auto5.5
Teleop16.0
End8.1
red by 10.3
3322
#12
19.31.3
18.216.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End6.5
Third
7658
#22
14.90.4
16.115.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.2
blue by 0.1
6642
#38
15.01.3
16.315.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
37%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed