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Red86
261921.4
499813.5
207532.5
Blue36
760214.2
655014.7
496119.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725640801008636

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.2
31.832.9
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End8.7
red by 13.1
4961
#15
19.41.2
21.820.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End3.9
Second
2619
#18
21.41.2
23.524.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End3.4
red by 6.6
6550
#25
14.71.2
17.516.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Third
4998
#23
13.51.2
13.314.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End4.1
blue by 0.6
7602
#26
14.21.2
14.112.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed