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Red58
365524.3
148121.0
519710.6
Blue23
785610.3
719616.8
17018.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534220305060705823

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.6
22.923.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End8.4
red by 7.5
7196
#21
16.81.4
17.115.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End3.5
Second
21.00.6
18.018.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End7.3
red by 10.7
7856
#32
10.31.4
12.010.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Third
5197
#37
10.60.6
9.710.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End3.2
red by 1.7
1701
#29
8.81.4
10.99.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed