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Red43
509017.3
585315.0
526312.0
Blue31
48405.0
438411.9
652819.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4541203050604331

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#31
17.30.0
16.616.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.5
End4.1
blue by 2.2
6528
#14
19.50.6
21.020.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.4
End1.7
Second
5853
#16
15.00.0
13.313.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End3.6
red by 3.1
4384
#18
11.90.6
12.712.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Third
5263
#27
12.00.0
12.512.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.4
End3.2
red by 7.0
4840
#36
5.00.6
4.84.2
Auto1.2
Teleop1.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed