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Red67
360423.8
506715.3
353619.4
Blue72
54822.7
354720.1
549818.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5962405070806772

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.9
22.223.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End8.0
red by 1.1
548
#11
22.70.2
21.221.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End4.2
Second
3536
#15
19.40.9
19.120.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End5.2
blue by 0.7
20.10.2
18.318.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.3
End7.2
Third
5067
#17
15.30.9
14.215.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 3.6
5498
#10
18.80.2
19.619.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsEarned