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Red51
592725.6
353913.3
387513.5
Blue57
277120.9
716618.6
240518.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60672040801001205157

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.4
27.226.8
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End5.2
red by 4.7
2771
#17
20.90.4
23.823.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End6.1
Second
3875
#16
13.50.4
13.212.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 5.1
18.60.4
19.218.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Third
3539
#20
13.30.4
16.516.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.2
blue by 5.0
2405
#10
18.20.4
20.520.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned