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Red45
400422.8
516717.8
90415.8
Blue66
335727.3
586019.4
609413.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6568204060801001204566

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#15
22.81.1
23.522.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.0
blue by 4.5
27.30.1
28.828.9
Auto4.9
Teleop18.7
End3.6
Second
17.81.1
18.617.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End3.1
blue by 1.6
19.40.1
20.420.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.5
End6.2
Third
904
#11
15.81.1
19.518.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End3.4
red by 1.9
6094
#14
13.90.1
15.315.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed18%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsEarned