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Red82
438122.8
413018.0
194016.8
Blue74
519418.8
525620.2
518217.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59582040801008274

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.6
22.122.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End6.4
red by 2.6
20.20.4
19.820.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End4.3
Second
18.00.7
17.317.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End5.1
blue by 0.7
5194
#24
18.80.4
18.318.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End1.8
Third
1940
#16
16.80.6
16.116.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 0.4
5182
#21
17.20.4
16.817.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End4.7