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Red81
515222.4
353831.3
612015.7
Blue65
438122.8
413018.0
194016.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74613040507080901008165

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.2
31.631.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End8.5
red by 8.5
22.80.0
22.722.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Second
22.40.2
22.823.0
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End7.4
red by 4.4
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End5.1
Third
6120
#23
15.70.2
16.016.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End3.9
blue by 1.1
1940
#16
16.80.0
16.716.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.3