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Red41
719513.3
567520.0
60439.7
Blue44
584316.5
725615.3
720810.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44401020305060704144

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.1
17.317.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.9
End3.0
red by 3.5
5843
#17
16.50.6
15.616.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.0
End3.3
Second
7195
#29
13.30.0
12.612.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End2.0
blue by 2.0
7256
#18
15.30.6
11.612.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End4.8
Third
6043
#36
9.70.1
11.611.6
Auto4.9
Teleop2.3
End2.4
blue by 0.4
7208
#34
10.00.6
11.111.7
Auto5.2
Teleop2.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed