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Red48
658812.6
413018.0
555911.6
Blue26
612015.7
605312.2
506913.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37341020304050604826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.01.4
13.715.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End5.1
red by 2.4
6120
#23
15.70.7
11.610.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End3.9
Second
6588
#10
12.60.8
11.712.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End3.4
blue by 1.3
5069
#22
13.90.7
11.110.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Third
5559
#26
11.60.8
9.910.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 0.6
6053
#38
12.20.4
9.89.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed