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Red52
6813.3
525620.2
605312.2
Blue56
567520.0
584316.5
335722.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395420305060705256

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.8
15.115.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End4.3
blue by 2.0
3357
#20
22.20.5
18.519.0
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.0
Second
68
#35
13.31.4
12.213.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End3.2
blue by 6.7
20.00.5
17.718.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Third
6053
#38
12.20.8
9.410.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End3.0
blue by 4.4
5843
#17
16.50.5
15.115.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed