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Red47
438122.8
125414.2
546216.0
Blue46
719513.3
524817.1
550123.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455020304060704746

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.3
16.817.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End6.4
blue by 0.9
23.70.1
19.619.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End8.7
Second
16.00.3
13.714.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End7.0
blue by 1.1
5248
#27
17.10.1
14.914.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End3.2
Third
1254
#15
14.20.3
12.512.8
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End3.7
red by 1.0
7195
#29
13.30.1
13.012.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsMissed