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Red36
65898.5
765812.3
515222.4
Blue35
550123.7
605312.2
720810.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40460102030506070803635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.1
16.616.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End7.4
blue by 1.3
23.70.6
20.219.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End8.7
Second
7658
#14
12.36.6
16.49.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
red by 0.1
6053
#38
12.20.6
11.110.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End3.0
Third
6589
#19
8.50.2
11.211.0
Auto3.9
Teleop1.1
End3.5
blue by 1.5
7208
#34
10.00.9
12.011.1
Auto5.2
Teleop2.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsMissed