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Red41
568813.4
438122.8
6813.3
Blue46
719513.3
562318.8
413018.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504301020306070804146

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.4
19.018.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End6.4
red by 4.0
5623
#11
18.80.0
13.012.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Second
5688
#33
13.40.7
13.312.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 4.6
18.00.0
14.714.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End5.1
Third
68
#35
13.30.7
15.314.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End3.2
red by 0.1
7195
#29
13.30.0
12.612.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed