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Red68
612015.7
335722.2
438122.8
Blue40
518217.2
60439.7
506913.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54381020305060706840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.2
17.819.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End6.4
red by 5.6
5182
#21
17.20.2
12.612.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Second
3357
#20
22.21.9
20.722.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.0
red by 8.3
5069
#22
13.90.4
12.012.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Third
6120
#23
15.71.9
12.214.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End3.9
red by 6.0
6043
#36
9.70.4
11.712.1
Auto4.9
Teleop2.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed