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Red32
555911.6
584316.5
568813.4
Blue38
658812.6
125414.2
725615.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342203050603238

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#17
16.51.0
17.416.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.0
End3.3
red by 1.3
7256
#18
15.30.5
12.612.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End4.8
Second
5688
#33
13.41.0
12.611.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 0.8
1254
#15
14.20.3
13.212.9
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End3.7
Third
5559
#26
11.60.6
10.710.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 1.0
6588
#10
12.60.3
13.713.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed