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Red36
725615.3
65898.5
518217.2
Blue61
718719.1
125414.2
719513.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394401020305060703661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5182
#21
17.20.0
12.812.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End4.7
blue by 1.9
7187
#12
19.11.0
17.118.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.5
Second
7256
#18
15.30.1
12.112.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End4.8
red by 1.0
1254
#15
14.20.6
12.913.5
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End3.7
Third
6589
#19
8.50.1
11.611.6
Auto3.9
Teleop1.1
End3.5
blue by 4.7
7195
#29
13.30.6
12.012.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed