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Red49
567520.0
506913.9
664210.4
Blue46
605312.2
485524.3
555911.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41451020305060704946

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.01.2
18.820.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.9
End3.0
blue by 4.2
24.30.4
21.521.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End6.6
Second
5069
#22
13.91.2
12.413.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End3.5
red by 1.7
6053
#38
12.20.2
10.610.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End3.0
Third
6642
#28
10.41.2
7.38.4
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End3.4
blue by 1.1
5559
#26
11.60.2
10.210.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed