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Red79
718719.1
518217.2
519418.8
Blue35
567520.0
658812.6
568813.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4950304060707935

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7187
#12
19.12.9
15.818.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.5
blue by 0.9
20.01.1
20.319.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Second
5194
#24
18.82.2
16.218.3
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End1.8
red by 5.4
5688
#33
13.41.1
13.712.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Third
5182
#21
17.22.2
14.616.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End4.7
red by 4.6
6588
#10
12.60.8
13.212.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed