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Red48
515222.4
555911.6
125414.2
Blue40
438122.8
656811.6
765812.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5148304060704840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.0
22.822.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End7.4
blue by 0.4
22.80.4
22.021.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Second
1254
#15
14.20.0
13.913.9
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End3.7
red by 1.9
7658
#14
12.30.5
12.512.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
Third
5559
#26
11.60.0
11.311.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Level
6568
#13
11.60.4
11.110.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed