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Red39
570411.5
360425.7
552314.3
Blue58
721910.3
78579.3
432524.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4948304060703958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.5
23.523.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End8.7
red by 1.1
24.60.8
25.626.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.0
End7.0
Second
5523
#38
14.30.8
13.012.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.0
End3.4
red by 4.0
7219
#35
10.30.8
10.411.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End2.4
Third
5704
#39
11.50.8
9.58.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.2
red by 2.2
7857
#32
9.30.8
9.510.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned58%HAB Docking oddsEarned