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Red30
659211.6
562320.2
609213.7
Blue37
663511.0
436223.0
613712.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4746304050603037

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.0
18.017.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End4.8
blue by 2.9
23.00.9
20.019.1
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End5.6
Second
6092
#25
13.71.0
12.511.6
Auto2.5
Teleop8.4
End2.9
red by 1.5
6137
#22
12.20.9
12.611.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Third
6592
#28
11.61.6
13.912.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End3.2
red by 0.6
6635
#30
11.01.4
11.49.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed